UK economy slows sharper than expected

March 27, 2009 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

GDP contracted by 1.6pc in the fourth quarter of 2008, revised down from a contraction of 1.5pc, the Office for National Statistics reported. The quarterly fall of 1.6pc was the sharpest decline since 1980.

Construction output tumbled 4.9pc over the quarter, revised down from a fall of 1.1pc. The ONS said this was due to survey data replacing a forecast.

The decline is the biggest quarterly fall in construction output since the fourth quarter on 1980.

Output of the production industries fell 4.5pc compared with a fall of 1.8pc in the previous quarter, driven by the marked decline in manufacturing output.

Separate figures showed Britain’s current account deficit narrowed to £7.641bn in the fourth quarter of 2008 from an upwardly revised deficit of £8.162bn in the third quarter.

Sterling fell against the euro on Friday as it continued to suffer the fallout from Thursday’s weak retail sales figures. High street sales plunged by 1.9pc during February, taking annual growth down to just 0.4 percent, its weakest since 1995

Following that theme, John Lewis – the department store group whose sales are often seen as a barometer of British retail spending – reported on Friday sales dropped by 12.6pc in the week to March 21.

Job Vacancies in Record Fall

February 20, 2009 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

Job centre queue

Job centre queue

The Recruitment and Employment Confederation (REC) said there had been a continued weakness in the labour market in recent weeks, with job vacancies falling at record levels.

Increasing numbers of workers being made redundant was coinciding with fewer new job opportunities becoming available.

There were sharp increases in the number of people looking for permanent and temporary work, a study found.

The report also noted a shift in bargaining power towards employers, with average salaries for successful candidates placed in permanent jobs falling for a fourth successive month in January.

The rate of decline in pay was the fastest since data collection started in 1997, while hourly pay rates for temporary staff was also down sharply.

Kevin Green, chief executive of the REC, said: “These figures continue to cause real concern and confirm that the labour market is continuing to contract, although the decline in permanent placements is less marked than in the previous month.

“The Government needs to breathe life into the jobs market, for example by harnessing the contribution of temporary work as a valuable mechanism for keeping people in employment.

“This means extending the employer incentives announced at last month’s jobs summit to take on and train temporary staff. It is also important that any steps to boost the jobs market are not undermined by potentially damaging legislation. In particular, the Government’s plans to introduce a tax on some temporary work from April must be delayed if we are to avoid even more jobs being lost at this critical time.”

Mike Stevens, of KPMG, which helped with the research, added: “Yet another month of desperate news on the UK employment front although there is a perceptible slowing in the rate of decline in permanent placements.

“Most employers are now looking at ways to cut cost to mitigate falling sales revenues. High on the list of costs, for what has largely become a service economy, is wages.”

High-earning professionals lead dole queue

February 9, 2009 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

High-earning professionals such as architects, quantity surveyors and lawyers are joing the dole queue at a faster rate than any other type of worker, new figures have revealed.

The number of tax advisers, commercial pilots and underwriters out of work and claiming benefits has also more than doubled in a year, according to the Office of National Statistics. Economists believe top earners who escaped the full brunt of previous recessions are among those hardest hit now.

“In the 1980s it was blue-collar unemployment; in the 1990s it was white collar unemployment,” said Graeme Leach, chief economist at the Institute of Directors. “In this recession we’re seeing something new: high-income unemployment.

“These are individuals with nice houses and two children in private schools who are suddenly seeing their standard of living plummet. This will be one of the hallmarks of this recession”.

More than 1.1m people were out of work and claiming benefits by the start of December – up from 787,000 a year earlier.

Middle-aged workers are among the biggest victims.  There has been a 30% rise in unemployment among the over-fifties in the last quarter of 2008, while joblessness between 25 to 49-year-olds rose by 5%.

Following is the full list of occupations affected by the recession

Applicants by profession applying for dole.

Profession Dec 07 Dec 08   %age increase
Quantity surveyors 100 590   490
Architects 150 810   440
Architectural technologists and town planning technicians 130 680   423.1
Managers in construction 785 4010   410.8
Chartered surveyors (not quantity surveyors) 230 850   269.6
Solicitors and lawyers, judges and coroners 345 1165   237.7
Heavy goods vehicle drivers 2645 8880   235.7
Water and sewerage plant operatives 70 225   221.4
Civil engineers 390 1205   209
Mobile machine drivers and operatives n.e.c. 1015 3110   206.4
Legal secretaries 420 1275   203.6
Taxation experts 25 75   200
Bricklayers, masons 4325 12600   191.3
Crane drivers 215 595   176.7
Town planners 55 150   172.7
Aircraft pilots and flight engineers 105 285   171.4
Insurance underwriters 120 325   170.8
Building and civil engineering technicians 195 525   169.2
Garage managers and proprietors 140 375   167.9
Carpenters and joiners 6685 17625   163.6
Scaffolders, stagers, riggers 1420 3715   161.6
Personnel and industrial relations officers 800 1940   142.5
Estimators, valuers and assessors 215 520   141.9
Property, housing and land managers 430 1010   134.9
Legal associate professionals 465 1085   133.3
Steel erectors 450 1050   133.3
Brokers 255 580   127.5
Plasterers 3425 7780   127.2
Buyers and purchasing officers 490 1070   118.4
Marketing and sales managers 3950 8585   117.3
Purchasing managers 215 465   116.3
Occupation unknown 2045 4405   115.4
Personal assistants and other secretaries 1590 3415   114.8
Financial institution managers 450 965   114.4
Transport and distribution managers 555 1190   114.4
Financial and accounting technicians 310 660   112.9
Quality assurance managers 235 500   112.8
Company secretaries 165 350   112.1
Construction operatives n.e.c. 3245 6785   109.1
Quarry workers and related operatives 125 260   108
Electricians, electrical fitters 3585 7445   107.7
Plumbers, heating and ventilating engineers 3625 7520   107.4
Conference and exhibition managers 275 570   107.3
Construction trades n.e.c. 2145 4445   107.2
Draughtspersons 520 1075   106.7
Plant and machine operatives n.e.c. 1260 2595   106
Finance and investment analysts/advisers 1025 2110   105.9
Financial managers and chartered secretaries 675 1375   103.7
Roofers, roof tilers and slaters 2080 4235   103.6
Legal professionals n.e.c. 180 365   102.8
Road construction operatives 1340 2710   102.2
Marketing associate professionals 955 1930   102.1
Customer care managers 595 1200   101.7
Merchandisers and window dressers 300 605   101.7
Floorers and wall tilers 1645 3310   101.2
Police officers (inspectors and above) 10 20   100
Public relations officers 265 530   100
Transport and distribution clerks 260 520   100
Air transport operatives 175 350   100
Assemblers (vehicles and metal goods) 565 1110   96.5
Glaziers, window fabricators and fitters 2020 3950   95.5
Credit controllers 340 660   94.1
Management accountants 385 745   93.5
Sales representatives 3135 6035   92.5
Welding trades 3010 5780   92
Advertising and public relations managers 490 940   91.8
Business and related associate professionals n.e.c. 540 1020   88.9
Air travel assistants 360 680   88.9
Office managers 1440 2710   88.2
Pipe fitters 570 1070   87.7
Chemical and related process operatives 280 525   87.5
Personnel, training and industrial relations managers 865 1615   86.7
Recycling and refuse disposal managers 75 140   86.7
Estate agents, auctioneers 555 1035   86.5
Production, works and maintenance managers 1605 2990   86.3
Public service associate professionals 65 120   84.6
Metal plate workers, shipwrights, riveters 340 625   83.8
Managers in mining and energy 60 110   83.3
Protective service associate professionals n.e.c. 30 55   83.3
Medical secretaries 145 265   82.8
Security managers 170 310   82.4
Lines repairers and cable jointers 225 410   82.2
Public service administrative professionals 565 1015   79.6
Management consultants, actuaries, economists and statisticians 635 1135   78.7
Quality assurance technicians 275 490   78.2
Metal machining setters and setter-operators 985 1755   78.2
Sales related occupations n.e.c. 1400 2490   77.9
Archivists and curators 200 355   77.5
Storage and warehouse managers 1340 2370   76.9
Information and communication technology managers 1665 2925   75.7
Chartered and certified accountants 590 1035   75.4
Leather and related trades 80 140   75
Production and process engineers 380 660   73.7
Accounts and wages clerks, book-keepers, other financial clerks 3775 6555   73.6
IT strategy and planning professionals 860 1490   73.3
Plastics process operatives 560 970   73.2
Paper and wood machine operatives 675 1165   72.6
Bookbinders and print finishers 265 455   71.7
Mechanical engineers 1285 2205   71.6
Dispensing opticians 35 60   71.4
Moulders, core makers, die casters 175 300   71.4
Vehicle spray painters 755 1290   70.9
Hotel and accommodation managers 420 715   70.2
Travel agency managers 50 85   70
Engineering technicians 605 1025   69.4
Telecommunications engineers 815 1380   69.3
Careers advisers and vocational guidance specialists 225 380   68.9
Design and development engineers 415 700   68.7
Metal working production and maintenance fitters 2030 3390   67
Printers 785 1310   66.9
Science and engineering technicians n.e.c. 135 225   66.7
Sheet metal workers 500 830   66
Customer care occupations 10045 16660   65.9
Process operatives n.e.c. 2475 4075   64.6
Rail construction and maintenance operatives 615 1010   64.2
Vehicle body builders and repairers 865 1420   64.2
Furniture makers, other craft woodworkers 555 910   64
Product, clothing and related designers 940 1540   63.8
Electrical engineers 510 825   61.8
Planning and quality control engineers 230 370   60.9
Upholsterers 300 480   60
Hand craft occupations n.e.c. 175 280   60
Van drivers 29975 47825   59.5
Journalists, newspaper and periodical editors 835 1330   59.3
Engineering professionals n.e.c. 605 960   58.7
Importers, exporters 120 190   58.3
Elementary sales occupations n.e.c. 180 285   58.3
Retail and wholesale managers 3005 4750   58.1
Call centre agents/operators 4550 7190   58
Stock control clerks 950 1500   57.9
Civil Service administrative officers and assistants 2465 3880   57.4
Rail transport operatives 175 275   57.1
Bus and coach drivers 1315 2065   57
Research and development managers 290 455   56.9
Refuse and salvage occupations 1385 2170   56.7
Telephone salespersons 1670 2615   56.6
Fork-lift truck drivers 12040 18795   56.1
NCOs and other ranks 225 350   55.6
Transport operatives n.e.c. 135 210   55.6
Occupational hygienists and safety officers (health and safety) 235 365   55.3
Social science researchers 300 465   55
Auto electricians 200 310   55
Prison service officers (below principal officer) 155 240   54.8
Electroplaters 175 270   54.3
Pharmaceutical dispensers 120 185   54.2
Tool makers, tool fitters and markers-out 250 385   54
Receptionists 6075 9330   53.6
Electrical/electronics engineers n.e.c. 925 1420   53.5
Agricultural and fishing trades n.e.c. 490 750   53.1
Roundsmen/women and van salespersons 85 130   52.9
Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c. 695 1060   52.5
Pensions and insurance clerks 250 380   52
Hairdressing and beauty salon managers and proprietors 175 265   51.4
Assemblers and routine operatives n.e.c. 9255 13950   50.7
Directors and chief executives of major organisations 640 960   50
Officers in armed forces 80 120   50
Air traffic controllers 30 45   50
Train drivers 60 90   50
Vocational and industrial trainers and instructors 730 1095   50
Statutory examiners 30 45   50
Environmental health officers 70 105   50
Pest control officers 90 135   50
Agricultural machinery drivers 180 270   50
Metal working machine operatives 2075 3110   49.9
Debt, rent and other cash collectors 195 290   48.7
Bar staff 12465 18530   48.7
IT user support technicians 3245 4815   48.4
Graphic designers 3260 4835   48.3
Routine inspectors and testers 480 710   47.9
Undertakers and mortuary assistants 115 170   47.8
Painters and decorators 11165 16490   47.7
Registrars and senior administrators of educational establishments 85 125   47.1
Local government clerical officers and assistants 1195 1755   46.9
Electronics engineers 545 800   46.8
Police officers (sergeant and below) 280 410   46.4
Restaurant and catering managers 1135 1660   46.3
Building inspectors 65 95   46.2
Conservation and environmental protection officers 555 810   45.9
Ambulance staff (excluding paramedics) 120 175   45.8
Industrial cleaning process occupations 1355 1975   45.8
Rubber process operatives 55 80   45.5
Tyre, exhaust and windscreen fitters 1125 1635   45.3
Retail cashiers and check-out operators 6000 8705   45.1
Other goods handling and storage occupations n.e.c. 68475 99060   44.7
Managers in animal husbandry, forestry and fishing n.e.c. 45 65   44.4
Elementary office occupations n.e.c. 790 1135   43.7
Typists 195 280   43.6
Senior officials of special interest organisations 115 165   43.5
Filing and other records assistants/clerks 865 1240   43.4
Housekeepers and related occupations 660 945   43.2
General office assistants/clerks 52340 74895   43.1
Researchers n.e.c. 455 650   42.9
Paramedics 35 50   42.9
Fire service officers (leading fire officer and below) 175 250   42.9
Broadcasting associate professionals 665 950   42.9
School secretaries 70 100   42.9
Civil Service executive officers 620 885   42.7
TV, video and audio engineers 480 685   42.7
Travel agents 610 870   42.6
Sports and fitness occupations n.e.c. 400 570   42.5

250% jump in bust companies

February 6, 2009 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

The number of large companies going bust leapt by 250% in the last three months of 2008 as the economic downturn took its toll.

Consumers also felt the pain asa the number of bankruptcies last year soared to the highest level since records began nearly 50 years ago.

The total number of businesses going bust, which covers administrations and liquidations, rose by more than 50 per cent as increasing numbers of firms struggled to access finance or secure insurance. But experts warned that the figures were set to rise higher in the coming year.

Malcolm Shierson, Partner at Grant Thornton’s Recovery and Reorganisation practice,aid “These numbers are bad, but they are going to get progressively worse as business and consumer confidence continues to fall.”
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“Companies across all sectors will struggle when they need to refinance their debt as lenders rein back on corporate lending. On top of this, the arteries of business are being clogged up as credit insurers cut back on the provision of cover for suppliers and contractors.”

Some 2,018 businesses entered into administration — the insolvency scheme usually used by larger companies — between October and December last year, up from 575 in the final quarter of 2007, figures from the Insolvency Service show.

Sacked bankers need help finding work, says minister

November 15, 2008 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

Job centres are under strain to help £75,000 per year bankers find work as Britain was hit by 20,000 job losses in the finance sector in one week, a Government minister said yesterday.

Tony McNulty, the employment minister, decided to speak out after Citigroup and Royal Bank of Scotland joined a string of financial firms making thousands of job cuts as the economic downturn takes its toll on the City.

Unemployment is expected to reach 2 Million by Christmas, and Mr McNulty explained that “We do need to make sure Jobcentre Plus is geared up for your £75,000 a year banker as well as other people and we do need that with fleetness of foot and flexibility.”

Unlike the previous recessions, such as the one in the 1980’s when manufacturing was the worst sector affected, this economic downturn is hitting financial workers hard.

Citigroup said it had already cut 12,900 jobs in the past year and had identified a further 9,100 to go in the coming months. RBS, which is in line for a £20 Billion bail-out from tax payers, is expected to offlay 3,000 jobs.

Five thousand jobs cut in a day

November 14, 2008 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

Vicky Redwood

Vicky Redwood

Yesterday more than 5,000 job losses were announced as an economist warned that unemployment would hit record levels in the worst downturn for 25 years.

According to Vicky Redwood of Capital Economics, the number claiming unemployment benefit would jump by 40,000 when official figures were announced today, taking levels close to the million mark. She went on to say that it is merely the tip of the iceberg and that overall unemployment figures would reach 3.3 million by 2010, more than the previous high of 3.278 million recorded in 1984.

She also said that there is usually a lag of about six months before the labour market reacts to this kind of change in the economy: “We have not seen the full effect of the recent slowdown in the economy, let alone the full force of the recession.”

Business leaders welcome change

November 7, 2008 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

A cautious welcome was felt among business leaders yesterday following the Moneytary Policy Committee’s 1.5 percentage point cut in interest rates. However, they echoed the Government’s view that the savings must be passed on to the consumer.

Andy Bond, CEO of ASDA, the UK’s second largest supermarket, said that the cut should go “some way” towards restoring consumer confidence in the run-up to Christmas. He said it was “essential” that banks and building societies do not keep the saving for themselves but pass it on to their customers.

Property companies also welcomed the move.

Carmakers bring back 3-day week

October 22, 2008 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

A group of leading carmakers in Britain have annouced that drastic measures are needed to deal with the slump in demand. Nissan became the latest to slash production yesterday when it announced that it will completely stop further manufacture of its Micra and Note models at its Sunderland factory for two weeks.

When the production line is restarted it will operate until December on a three-day week reminiscent of the factory stoppages in 1974.

About 800 employees work on these models in the UK’s biggest car-making site. Bosses have denied that there will be job losses and insisted that pay will not be cut. However, the reduced operations will result in a 10% cut in production, similar to that announced by Honda, which has reduced its production of the Civic model at its Swindon factory.

Recession on the way warns Bank of England

October 14, 2008 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

Andrew Sentance, member of the Bank of England’s policy committee has warned that the UK faces further severe downturns in the economy as he set the stage for further rate cuts.

A fall in GDP for the second quarter running is becoming certain, he said at a Market News International Seminar in London, and the balance of risks is shifting towards severe recession by the end of the year.

Mr Sentance’s observation comes on the back of a report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research stating that the City would be set back 10 years with a net loss of 62,000 jobs taking employment back to the same level as 1998.

Treasury throws £50Bn lifeline at banks

October 8, 2008 by Admin · Leave a Comment 

This morning, Britains banks will be saved by the treasury. So deep is the financial crisis that Alistair Darling has stepped in and provided a lifeline to the city in the form of a £50bn rescue plan.

Other measures the Treasury will introduce are a guarantee for Britain’s £2,000bn of retail and corporate savings. Meanwhile banks are under continued pressure to raise further capital as the cash shortage bites.

Sandy Chen at Panmure Gordon warned: “Government bailouts will only prolong the process of structural readjustment, which includes further 20% falls in US and UK house prices”

The Government will take stakes in RBS, HBOS, Barclays, Lloyds TSB and HSBC. The size of the stakes will be determined by each of the banks capital strength. RBS are in line for the biggest injection as the weakest in the sector.